I don't put much stock in the moon phase or the weather affecting peak breeding dates. The trigger that always made most sense to me is the amount of daylight in a day....so actually the position of the sun if you will.

That said, the moon phase and the weather produce definite affects on deer movement...not only during the rut, but year round. A full moon will generate more night time activity and reduce day time activity. Just the opposite with a new moon. Warm temps while wearing winter coats will slow day time movement down. In extreme cold, best activity will probably be mid-afternoon.

For deer hunting, give me a frosty early November morning (pre-rut) with a decent breeze following a new moon any time!