Realistically we should see about 4,000 more deer killed so the final might be more like 6% fewer deer killed this season from last.
But that is pretty easily explained by the rough weather on opening day. Like it or not. The limitations we have by looking solely at raw numbers killed v. a population estimate or kill adjusted for hunter effort force those big assumptions.
Bottom line is it will take a whole lot more than a 6% drop in one year before major policy change is indicated. Especially since that has been the stated policy goal for years.